Jessica Sieff | May 11, 2020
As state leaders and public health officials weigh options to reopen businesses and ease social distancing guidelines, scientists have launched studies tackling two key factors for determining next steps. Researchers at the University of Notre Dame are looking at short-term forecasts of potential infection and are monitoring spread of the coronavirus in wastewater.
Understanding the impact of interventions such as shelter-in-place orders, school closures, social distancing and working from home is complex because these efforts depend on the patterns and structures of how people come in contact with one another, which varies, said Alex Perkins, the Eck Family Assistant Professor in the Department of Biological Sciences and an expert in infectious disease epidemiology and population biology.
“In many epidemiological models, it’s not possible to implement those types of interventions in a straightforward way,” he said. Using an agent-based model, which simulates individuals and their movement patterns, Perkins and his team are aiming to build more accurate projections of how the coronavirus could spread in the short term, based on how we live, work and move.
Read more here.